After another exciting week in College Football, it’s time to take a look at our updated Top 25, via my SAM elo model. Without further adieu, let’s get into it–our top takeaways from Week 3:

  • USC breaks the top 3. After walking all over Fresno State, the Trojans travel to Oregon state where they look to stay undefeated against a high powered offense
  • Penn State is back! After a resounding victory against Auburn last Saturday there is no doubt that this team is for real. They’ve earned the 6th overall seed in our rankings!
  • Tennessee is rolling on all cylinders–a matchup against Florida (57) is a great chance for this team to prove they’re legit
  • Washington’s big win against MSU has moved them up to 12
  • Rutgers has cracked the top 25! The Scarlett Knights are a wagon!

Let’s take a look at some key team progressions:

Tennessee is climbing the ranks!

Washington’s beating of MSU has sent these teams on opposite trajectories

Middle Tennessee is a great team to watch when you are betting against the spread
Louisville has massively underperformed their expectations this season–what’s in store for the Cardinals the rest of the year?

Some games to watch in Week 4:

  • Tennessee (9) vs. Florida (57): This is Tennessee’s chance to prove what they are made of, while it is Florida’s chance to keep their playoff hopes alive. The model has the Vols with a 69% chance to win
  • Rutgers (22) vs. Ohio State (1): Can Rutgers pull off the upset? The model gives the Scarlett Knights a 35% chance of winning on Saturday
  • Maryland (36) vs. Michigan (5): This is Michigan’s first real test–while the model gives them a 66% chance to win, Maryland has yet to lose and could surprise the Wolverines if they come out flat