Record: 30-22 | Bonus Record: 3-6
I have never been more infuriated with the Raiders blowing a double-digit lead than I was on Thursday night after they somehow collapsed to a Baker Mayfield led Rams’ squad. This one will look especially horrible on Josh McDaniel’s already long list of questionably coached games. If by the Rams not losing this game costs the Lions a couple spots in the draft order, I might have to call Mark Davis myself to ensure McDaniels never has the chance to throw another game. On another note, I can promise these bets won’t disappoint in the same way as the Raiders did:
Jets +10 @ Bills
Whether Mike White is actually a decent NFL quarterback remains to be seen, the benching of Zach Wilson has undoubtedly boosted team moral, especially in the skill position department. In the last two weeks Mike White started, the offense finally looked better than the worst in football, although to be fair they played the Bears when scoring 31 points. This is an extremely important development for the Jets, because while their defense has performed incredibly well, their offense has found ways to lose in many weeks that almost any other offense would have boosted them to victory. For this reason, being ten-point dogs even to a great Bills’ team is simply too much. The Jets should be able to keep this game close, as they did in their victory against the Bills a few weeks ago, and that was with Zach Wilson at the helm.
Miles Sanders O63.5 Rushing Yards
The Eagles recognize the Giants’ deficiency against the run and will likely establish Sanders early in the contest. When the run game for the Eagles clicks, the rest of their offense does as well and allows them to control games from the beginning. As the Eagles jump out to a positive game script, both Hurts and Sanders run often and efficiently. This prop puts Sanders in an undervalued position, basically only requiring fifteen carries at moderate efficiency to reach, but expect Sanders to run for more on Sunday.
Browns @ Bengals O46.5 Total Points
Myles Garrett and the Browns’ pass rush have overwhelmed Burrow in the past, highlighted when the Browns surprisingly trounced the Bengals earlier in the season. However, that was many weeks ago, and Burrow is now red hot after back-to-back wins against playoff teams. Furthermore, Burrow’s O-line play has improved significantly, especially in run-blocking. The Bengals, with Mixon returning this week, should be able to take the heat off Burrow by winning in the trenches and establishing their run game. We all know Burrow just needs a little room to hit his plethora of receiving talent, so the Bengals offense will move efficiently Sunday. As for the Browns, don’t expect Watson to be great, but expect him to look more like an NFL quarterback this week after his defense gifted him the game last week. The Bengals’ defense isn’t imposing against the run so Chubb and Hunt can be effective, and if Watson uses his legs, the Browns will sustain some drives and contribute to the over 46.5-point total.
Cowboys -17.5 vs Texans
There’s really no reason this game shouldn’t get out of hand very quickly. The Cowboys boast the best rushing attack in the league and will scorch the Texans on the ground. Even if the Texans sellout to prevent being dominated in the trenches, the Cowboys are plenty capable from burning them through the air instead. On the other side of the ball, the Cowboys’ ferocious pass rush will disrupt anything the Texans attempt, not that I can really see the Texans coming into this game with a great game plan. The Texans are in full tank mode, and although the disparity in talent between these two teams is very evident, it’s the Texans probable lack of effort that makes me confident the Cowboys will cover the spread.