Record: 26-18 | Bonus Record: 3-6

Tragically, only two legs of each Thanksgiving SGP hit, so we came up empty across the board. Case in point why SGPs aren’t the smartest way to bet. After so many crushing losses, we’ll be a little light on regular bets for the Sunday slate, which is also lighter than usual:

Chargers @ Cardinals O48.5 Total Points

Both offenses have been very inconsistent over the course of the season, but now finally enjoy all their best playmakers healthy and active for week twelve besides Mike Williams. Even so, the presence of Keenan Allen, who returned last week for the divisional showdown with the Chiefs, clearly worked wonders in opening up passing windows for Justin Herbert. With the Chargers’ offense looking more dynamic than it has in most games this year, the Cardinals will be forced to match. Kyler Murray returns from injury alongside his whole receiving corps for the first time in 2022 in a great matchup against the Chargers’ defense, and will be aided by his running game that should be able to establish itself. Overall, expect offensive efficiency in a high-tempo contest to yield over 48.5 points.

Sam Darnold U184.5 Passing Yards

It’s very difficult to bet on a guy that has been terrible every opportunity he receives when making his first start in over a year against a league best pass defense. Beyond his questionable processing and erratic accuracy, Darnold returns to a Panthers team that possesses sub-par skill position talent, even worse than when he last took the field for the Panthers. It’s certainly possible that Darnold is pulled sometime during the game if his performance is especially terrible, so the odds are definitely stacked against him to reach this prop.

Titans +2.5 @ VS. Bengals

The surging Titans have another good matchup against the Bengals, whose rush defense should allow the Titans to impose Derrick Henry and implement a strong play-action passing game. The Bengals on the other hand enter Sunday still lacking Jamarr Chase and lost Joe Mixon last game. Expect the entire offense to regress after a great performance from Burrow against the Steelers’ generous pass defense. I don’t think the Titans will run away with the game, but can take the lead early and hold off the Bengals until the final whistle.