Record: 12-10 | Bonus Record: 3-1
After all my talk about player props last week they were an extreme let down last week, both counting for losses. Despite the unfortunate results I believe they can be attributed to bad luck rather than poorly conducted research. On a positive note, how about the Jets taking down the Packers as highlighted in last week’s edition, and somehow, they are still underdogs to the pathetic Broncos…
Jets +1 @ Broncos
Russ and the Broncos have yet to display an offense resembling competence, and that streak will likely continue this Sunday against the Jets. Possessing a surprisingly respectable defense on multiple levels so far this year, expect the Jets to cause Russ extreme discomfort the entire game, who will probably gift us several more hilarious clips of missing wide-open receivers. Of course, the Broncos defense will provide Zach Wilson with a real test to successfully manage another game, but that’s all Wilson has to do to win this contest. Encouraging is the fact that Wilson hasn’t made any major mistakes since his first game of the year, which can continue if Wilson keeps relying on the best group of skill position talent the Jets have assembled in years.
Chris Godwin O63.5 Pass Yards
In his first three games back from his hamstring injury, Godwin was targeted nine times per game, and twelve times in week six. As he continues to return to form, Godwin’s efficiency on his targets and upside after the catch should increase, which he will demonstrate in a soft matchup against the Panthers. Furthermore, Brady and the offense as a whole will bounce back after a less than stellar performance last week, allowing Godwin plenty of opportunities and space to operate.
Chiefs @ 49ers O48.5 Total Points
The Chiefs ability to rack up points early will largely depend on the health of several 49ers’ defensive stalwarts. Nevertheless, even if by some miracle they all return to action Sunday, Mahomes solves this less than 100% defense eventually. When the Chiefs take the lead by a score or more, their defense generously allows the opposing team to stay within striking distance, or just outside it. Christian McCaffery will become Jimmy G’s new best friend after being traded on Thursday, opening up more looks down the field as well, so expect the 49ers to keep pace with the high-powered Chiefs’ offense. The Chiefs’ defense, already one of the most lenient in terms of passing, doesn’t possess the capability to prevent CMC, Samuel, Kittle, and Aiyuk from having a field day. The 49ers holding CMC out of the lineup this week would certainly hurt this projection, but I’m highly confident he will be showcased on Sunday because the 49ers are certainly eager to do so.
Ezekiel Elliot O64.5 Rush Yards
Zeke appeared to turn back the clock last week against the Eagles, maybe in remembrance of all the impressive performances he’s had against Philly over his career. Expect Zeke to continue his recent success on the ground against the constantly horrendous Lions’ rush defense. Not only do the Lions allow over 150 YPG on the ground, but the Cowboys also likely choose to ease the burden on Prescott’s shoulders in his first game back after a five-week hiatus. In a positive game script, the Cowboys run the ball at least thirty times, giving Zeke ample opportunity to exceed this prop.