Fine. I will stop telling you not to add Tyler Lockett. Chances are, someone in your league already has him by now, but I was definitely surprised to see Lockett score a big TD in each of the first three weeks of the season. I’d like to double down on last week’s picks and say that Tyler Boyd and OJ Howard are definitely worth an add, if they aren’t owned in your league already. Through the first three weeks though, we haven’t really seen a true breakout waiver wire player; one that you can count on to put up points week-to-week. Let’s try to find him this week.
Worth the Add – WR Antonio Callaway, Cleveland Browns (2.0 Points in Week 3)
Probably not very many people are looking to add Callaway after his four catch, 20-yard performance last Thursday night. However, the departure of Josh Gordon bodes well for Callaway, and so does the fact that despite his four catches, Callaway was targeted 10 times. His numbers would’ve been a lot better if Tyrod Taylor didn’t miss him on a deep post too. I think Callaway and Baker Mayfield can form an electric connection going forward. It’s also noteworthy that Callaway was on the field for 90% of the team’s offensive snaps, which was even more than Jarvis Landry. Callaway has also accounted for 25% of the team’s air yards (total targeted yards that the ball is in the air) through the first three weeks, which is a pretty significant total. I’d buy Callaway this week against the Raiders.
Won’t Repeat – RB Chris Ivory, Buffalo Bills (12.6 Points in Week 3)
The running back position has always been thin in fantasy, and Ivory was really only a spot start this past week with LeSean McCoy out. Ivory had a productive day, totaling 126 yards (56 rushing/70 receiving). The Bills are not a team many people are high on right now (despite the big win against Minnesota), and since LeSean McCoy has struggled to start the year many might be thinking that Ivory is a solid add. He did face 8+ defenders in the box on 40% of his carries on Sunday, but regardless 20 carries for 56 yards (2.8 YPC) is a very weak performance. 55 of Ivory’s 70 receiving yards also came on a single play, so overall his numbers weren’t really that impressive. I understand that the waiver wire is quite scarce at this position, but don’t waste your time with Ivory.
Worth the Add – TE Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles (13.3 Points in Week 3)
Goedert, a rookie out of South Dakota State University, had a big game on Sunday, catching all seven of his targets for 73 yards and a TD. Although Goedert outperformed #1 TE Zach Ertz, it doesn’t seem like Goedert is going to take over as Ertz was on the field for 99% of the Eagles’ snaps. Goedert saw 67% of snaps however, and looking at his route chart he was used in many different situations. He also had an average of five yards of separation on all of his targets, good for 3rd among TEs and 4th in the league in week 3. He didn’t really do much to start the year, but it seems like Carson Wentz is going to get Goedert involved. All aboard the North Dakota/South Dakota State connection train.
Won’t Repeat – WR Jakeem Grant, Miami Dolphins (19.0 Points in Week 3)
Jakeem Grant had a huge week, totaling 70 receiving yards and 2 TDs. He also led the Dolphins in targets through the first two weeks, and since the Dolphins look surprisingly good, many might be wanting to add Grant as Tannehill’s main option. The problem? Grant had two receptions. There is no possible way that Grant is going to score a deep TD on every catch going forward, and both TDs were made significantly after the catch. Of Grant’s 70 yards, only 19 came through the air. It’s also worth noting that Grant played only 9 snaps on Sunday (20%), while Kenny Stills and Danny Amendola were on the field most of the time. With DeVante Parker also nearing a return, it doesn’t make much sense to add Grant.
Also Worth a Look:
QB Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (26.16 Points in Week 3)
RB Gio Bernard, Cincinnati Bengals – at least while Mixon is out (14.6 Points in Week 3)
Be Wary of:
RB Jordan Wilkins, Indianapolis Colts (2.0 Points in Week 3 )
RB Wendell Smallwood, Philadelphia Eagles (15.1 Points in Week 3)
WR Mohamed Sanu, Atlanta Falcons (11.6 Points in Week 3)
Photo Credit: Mike Morris